← Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
decks
2
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-5-3
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.6%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1369
· median 1369
· range 1327–1412
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1321
Q3 1438
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.1% | +5.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.7 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |